Theresa May was sworn in as Prime Minister of the UK, and her opening speech resounded worldwide. The British Pound
recovered against the SA Rand and most currencies but was this just a blip.
So what does this mean to us in South Africa, and how will this impact our struggling economy or Africa as a whole.
Well, Boris Johnson was appointed UK foreign Minister.
Silence is deafening. If you recall, The Africans For Britain Group supported Brexit because the group had argued that Britain leaving the EU
would encourage trade with African and Caribbean nations and make it easier for
people from those countries to travel to the UK. So where are they now? And what is their
response?
This is the view seen in currency markets
on the 14 July 2016 provided by
http://www.xe.com/XE - thank you.
What is sure is that we will see more announcements on trade in the African continent from both the EU and, I suspect, the UK changes will happen too.
Some analysts have stated that Brexit would weaken trade ties between the U.K. and African countries. With their over 100 trade agreements, this will result in lengthy processes, which could cause a decrease in trade volumes with the UK and increase trade volumes with the EU.
We need to keep in mind that statistics from the UK’s Office for National Statistics and the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development for 2014, only 18 months back, it is calculated that exports from Africa to the UK represent about 5% of Africa’s total exports and that Africa is actually more worried about China’s slowdown, its biggest trading partner by far, than that of the UK. So Africa itself needs to focus on the EU as an export partner.
We know the East African Community and the EU are due to sign an Economic Partnership Agreement in October. There are probably other agreements in the pipeline for countries. South Africa has UK-based contracts in the Mining and Financial sector, but these are in themselves not self-sustaining and job creation which is what is needed; more likely, they are self-gain based.
So financially, the bet lies on the EU and Africa – we need to manage this and watch the growth and changes. If the UK makes a move; the effect lies externally and not on us; we will flinch but remain resilient.
About the author:
Chris Green - Financial Entrepreneur
http://coronation.com/global.
A forerunner with Mortgage Origination in South Africa. Established the first mortgage-independent company in the UAE - Middle East. Managed lead generation in the Money transfer industry internationally. Studied Marine Radio, IT, and Finance. Has expertise in IT technology background consulting in Database Management and Software Design. Introduced the first artificial intelligence testing system for computer programmers in South Africa. Has presented various papers and products in Dubai, New York, Boston, London, Dublin, Milan, Turin, and Paris on subjects ranging from Darkroom Operations for IT to Creating Finance modules for Property Letting. Currently, an avid blogger, a gatherer of information, and I love politics, finance, and the future. His hobbies include making grappa, being a sous chef (foodie) to his chef wife, and reading everything he can.
Chris Green - Financial Entrepreneur
http://coronation.com/global.
A forerunner with Mortgage Origination in South Africa. Established the first mortgage-independent company in the UAE - Middle East. Managed lead generation in the Money transfer industry internationally. Studied Marine Radio, IT, and Finance. Has expertise in IT technology background consulting in Database Management and Software Design. Introduced the first artificial intelligence testing system for computer programmers in South Africa. Has presented various papers and products in Dubai, New York, Boston, London, Dublin, Milan, Turin, and Paris on subjects ranging from Darkroom Operations for IT to Creating Finance modules for Property Letting. Currently, an avid blogger, a gatherer of information, and I love politics, finance, and the future. His hobbies include making grappa, being a sous chef (foodie) to his chef wife, and reading everything he can.